Two small investments Warren Buffett made more than two decades ago can teach us all something about how we should view our money.
Each year, investors anxiously await the annual report from Berkshire Hathaway, which contains a letter from Buffett that contains indispensable insight into the decisions he’s made both over the last year and his entire life.
His letter for 2013 has just been released over the weekend and in it, Buffett outlines how two small real estate investments he made more than 20 years ago that can prepare everyone for a future of success.
The investments
Buffett describes his 1986 purchase of a 400-acre farm 50 miles north of Omaha, Nebraska, in the USA. Just a few years prior, farmland in Nebraska and the entire Midwest was booming, but a bursting of the bubble caused prices to decline rapidly. Buffett was able to buy the land for US$280,000, which was “considerably less” than what a failed bank valued it a few years earlier.
While Buffett notes he “knew nothing about operating a farm,” he enlisted the help of a son – who was an avid farmer himself – and the two estimated the return on the investment would be 10% annually.
He then describes the purchase of a “small investment” – the price wasn’t mentioned – of a retail property in New York City that was next to New York University in 1993. He joined two other friends to buy the property following the collapse of the commercial real estate bubble and once again estimated he could earn about 10% each year.
As typical with Buffett, he is somewhat muted on what he has actually made from the initial investments, but notes, “The farm has tripled its earnings and is worth five times or more what I paid,” and he now receives 35% of his initial investment in the real estate property annually in the form of distributions.
Although the investments were small – Berkshire Hathaway had a book value of more than US$2 billion in 1986 and almost US$9 billion in 1993 – and he has never seen the property in New York and visited the farmland only twice, Buffett notes that “the two investments will be solid and satisfactory holdings for my lifetime and, subsequently, for my children and grandchildren.”
The lessons
First, Buffett says, “You don’t need to be an expert in order to achieve satisfactory investment returns,” and a recognition of personal limits while ensuring things are kept simple navigating along a “course certain to work reasonably well” is critical.
He adds that when an investment decision is made, it’s always critical to evaluate “future productivity” to determine if it’s a worthwhile investment. If an investor is unable to gauge a“rough estimate” of what the future return of the investment is, Buffett says the best step is to simply “forget it and move on.”
Buffett continues by highlighting that he focuses on productivity, not price, which is a critical distinction. Often investors are lulled into thinking it’s only the price that matters, but prices are merely speculations of a value, whereas the productivity of a business is where the actual value is created.
The final lesson Buffett extols from these two small investments is that he didn’t consider the broader macroeconomic or market predictions from others because those “may blur your vision of the facts that are truly important.”
Next, he says speculation surrounding future price and daily prices are superfluous when making a decision. Again, he harps on the truth that he “thought only of what the properties would produce and cared not at all about their daily valuations.”
Changing your life
In all five points, Buffett highlights things that can be taught to all investors, both those in real estate and those preparing for retirement through the stock market.
Investments are to be made in businesses that generate returns to their investors, not simply the names and numbers of stock tickers. For instance, the great multi-bagger returns over the past 22 years from blue chips in Singapore like Keppel Corporation(SGX: BN4), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07) and United Overseas Bank (SGX: U11) did not happen in isolation; they came about due to great growth in profits (i.e. an increase in the businesses’ productivity).
While it is easy to be swayed by daily trends, long-term investments at reasonable prices are always a winning formula. And if that sounds too daunting or difficult, Buffett says a very low-cost index fund is a wonderful solution.
Buffett concludes by reminding readers of his oft-repeated but immensely valuable advice he learned from his professor and mentor Ben Graham: “Price is what you pay; value is what you get,” which is something everyone must remember when making any investment.
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